SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 19, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (-9.2%)

Today’s price:O: 52.96 H: 53.92 L: 52.68 C: 53.42

Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

Despite a 16-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.42 showing a gain of -9.2%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1465.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of March 19, 2026, SPX fell -0.27%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and short-term swings are intensifying.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com