Tag: Quantitative System for Retail Investors

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 20, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (13.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 67.19 H: 67.50 L: 66.23 C: 66.33

    Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

    Despite a 27-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 66.33 showing a gain of 13.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,674 7,650
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.0 21.3

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of July 20, 2026, SPX fell -0.19%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 13, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System Holding a Position (15.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.30 H: 68.54 L: 67.47 C: 67.67

    Price is -1.5% down from previous close.

    Despite a 22-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 67.67 showing a gain of 15.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,835 7,995
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.5 22.3

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 22.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of July 13, 2026, SPX fell -0.79%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 06, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Position Open – In the Market (16.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 67.67 H: 68.35 L: 67.46 C: 68.16

    Price is 1.7% up from previous close.

    Despite a 17-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 68.16 showing a gain of 16.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,885 8,120
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.8 22.7

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 22.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of July 06, 2026, SPX rose +0.72%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 30, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (15.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.43 H: 67.63 L: 66.37 C: 67.38

    Price is 1.6% up from previous close.

    Despite a 14-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 67.38 showing a gain of 15.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,799 7,920
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.7 22.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 22.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 30, 2026, SPX rose +0.79%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 23, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – Position Open – In the Market (3.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.28 H: 66.35 L: 65.03 C: 65.28

    Price is -2.9% down from previous close.

    Despite a 9-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 65.28 showing a loss of 3.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,500 776
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.1 2.6

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 23, 2026, SPX fell -1.44%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 22, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – Active Trade in Progress (6.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 67.82 H: 68.26 L: 66.99 C: 67.20

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    Despite a 8-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 67.20 showing a loss of 6.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,740 1,077
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.7 3.6

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 22, 2026, SPX fell -0.37%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 09, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System Holding a Position (4.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.94 H: 67.53 L: 63.19 C: 65.79

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 40 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 65.79 showing a loss of 4.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,547 856
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.5 2.9

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of June 09, 2026, SPX fell -0.26%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 05, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Active Trade in Progress (4.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.59 H: 68.67 L: 65.50 C: 65.86

    Price is -5.2% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 38 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 65.86 showing a loss of 4.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,540 867
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.5 3.0

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of June 05, 2026, SPX fell -2.64%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 29, 2026 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (9.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 69.32 H: 69.72 L: 69.11 C: 69.44

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 33 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 69.44 showing a loss of 9.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,980 1,429
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.8 4.9

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 4.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of May 29, 2026, SPX rose +0.22%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 21, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Position Open – In the Market (6.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.28 H: 67.41 L: 66.01 C: 67.03

    Price is 0.4% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 28 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 67.03 showing a loss of 6.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,679 1,051
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.2 3.7

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of May 21, 2026, SPX rose +0.17%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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