Sentiment Gauge
SP500 trading strategy performance chart

A Trading System for the S&P500

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 23, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – No Active Position.

    Today’s price:O: 58.46 H: 59.19 L: 58.45 C: 59.13

    Price is 0.9% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 3 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,479 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2027.8 1962.6

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1962.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 23, 2025, SPX rose +0.46%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 22, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Awaiting Re-entry Signal.

    Today’s price:O: 58.48 H: 58.72 L: 58.27 C: 58.63

    Price is 1.2% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 2 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,409 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2007.3 1965.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1965.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 22, 2025, SPX rose +0.64%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 19, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Awaiting Re-entry Signal.

    Today’s price:O: 57.26 H: 57.99 L: 57.23 C: 57.91

    Price is 1.8% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 1 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,310 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1982.3 1972.5

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1972.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 19, 2025, SPX rose +0.88%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 18, 2025 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is on the Sidelines.

    Today’s price:O: 57.08 H: 57.61 L: 56.64 C: 56.90

    Price is 1.5% up from previous close.

    The S&P500 has been trending down for 2 days. The system remains out of the market, waiting for bullish confirmation.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,176 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1940.1 1975.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1975.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 18, 2025, SPX rose +0.79%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 17, 2025 – Market Direction: Downward – System is on the Sidelines.

    Today’s price:O: 57.50 H: 57.59 L: 56.04 C: 56.06

    Price is -2.2% down from previous close.

    The S&P500 has been trending down for 1 days. The system remains out of the market, waiting for bullish confirmation.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,057 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1902.5 1977.6

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1977.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 17, 2025, SPX fell -1.16%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 16, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Currently Not Invested.

    Today’s price:O: 57.41 H: 57.72 L: 56.69 C: 57.34

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 15 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,233 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1964.2 1980.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1980.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 16, 2025, SPX fell -0.24%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 12, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues –

    Today’s price:O: 58.98 H: 59.08 L: 57.41 C: 57.84

    Price is -2.2% down from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 14 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,270 1,375
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 3.9%
    Cagr 1986.5 567.1

    Closed Ops: 1 – Won: 1 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 0.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 567.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 3.9 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 1 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 15, 2025, SPX fell -0.16%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 12, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – No Active Position.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 12, 2025, SPX fell -1.07%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 11, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (18.5%) – Sell on next Market Open.

    Today’s price:O: 58.46 H: 59.16 L: 57.96 C: 59.15

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 12 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system has issued a SELL order to be executed al Market Price on next day’s session open.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 59.15 showing a gain of 18.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,459 5,337
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2052.5 2011.6

    Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 5.2

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2011.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 11, 2025, SPX rose +0.21%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 10, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – Active Trade in Progress (18.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.03 H: 59.12 L: 57.83 C: 58.87

    Price is 1.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 11 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 58.87 showing a gain of 18.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,427 5,268
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2045.5 1992.2

    Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 5.2

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1992.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 10, 2025, SPX rose +0.67%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

The content on this site is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The strategies shared reflect personal research and experience and may not be suitable for others. Always consult an independent financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This blog does not offer financial services or maintain any contractual relationship with its readers.

HTML Snippets Powered By : XYZScripts.com