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A Trading System for the S&P500

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 12, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Active Trade in Progress (2.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.31 H: 60.24 L: 59.31 C: 60.08

    Price is 0.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 15 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 60.08 showing a gain of 2.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,630 5,965
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2027.3 2133.3

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2133.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 12, 2026, SPX rose +0.16%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 09, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System is Currently Invested (1.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.31 H: 60.12 L: 59.08 C: 59.90

    Price is 1.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 14 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.90 showing a gain of 1.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,605 5,920
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2025.5 2125.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2125.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 09, 2026, SPX rose +0.65%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 08, 2026 – Upward Momentum Continues – Active Trade in Progress (0.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.04 H: 59.33 L: 58.80 C: 59.13

    Price is -0.1% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 13 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.13 showing a gain of 0.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,505 5,725
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1995.9 2066.2

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2066.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 08, 2026, SPX rose +0.01%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 07, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (0.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.62 H: 59.92 L: 59.12 C: 59.18

    Price is -0.7% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 12 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.18 showing a gain of 0.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,504 5,738
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1998.0 2072.8

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2072.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 07, 2026, SPX fell -0.34%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 06, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (1.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.89 H: 59.65 L: 58.87 C: 59.57

    Price is 1.2% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 11 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.57 showing a gain of 1.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,557 5,836
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2017.7 2106.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2106.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 06, 2026, SPX rose +0.62%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 05, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Position Open – In the Market (0.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.67 H: 59.16 L: 58.65 C: 58.88

    Price is 1.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 10 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 58.88 showing a gain of 0.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,461 5,279
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1989.3 1930.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1930.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 05, 2026, SPX rose +0.64%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 02, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (-1.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.54 H: 58.74 L: 57.54 C: 58.10

    Price is 0.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 9 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 58.10 showing a gain of -1.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,364 5,086
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1965.1 1874.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1874.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of January 02, 2026, SPX rose +0.19%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 31, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Position Open – In the Market (-1.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.83 H: 58.85 L: 57.88 C: 57.92

    Price is -1.5% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 8 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.92 showing a gain of -1.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,335 5,042
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1960.5 1864.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1864.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 31, 2025, SPX fell -0.74%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 31, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – Active Trade in Progress (-1.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.83 H: 58.85 L: 57.88 C: 57.92

    Price is -1.5% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 8 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.92 showing a gain of -1.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,335 5,042
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1960.5 1864.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1864.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 31, 2025, SPX fell -0.74%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 30, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Currently Not Invested. – Buy on next Market Open.

    Today’s price:O: 58.89 H: 59.08 L: 58.74 C: 58.80

    Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 7 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system has issued a BUY order to be executed al Market Price on next day’s session open.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,448 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2000.1 1945.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1945.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 30, 2025, SPX fell -0.14%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

The content on this site is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The strategies shared reflect personal research and experience and may not be suitable for others. Always consult an independent financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This blog does not offer financial services or maintain any contractual relationship with its readers.

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