A Trading System for the S&P500
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 26, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – Active Trade in Progress (-13.0%)
Today’s price:O: 52.26 H: 52.72 L: 51.12 C: 51.16
Price is -3.5% down from previous close.
Despite a 21-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 51.16 showing a gain of -13.0%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,510 3,708 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1523.8 1276.9 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1276.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 26, 2026, SPX fell -1.74%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 25, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System Holding a Position (-9.8%)
Today’s price:O: 53.34 H: 53.70 L: 52.64 C: 53.04
Price is 0.9% up from previous close.
Despite a 20-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.04 showing a gain of -9.8%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,767 4,184 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1603.0 1426.1 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1426.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 2:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.
As of March 25, 2026, SPX rose +0.54%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is easing.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 24, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (-10.6%)
Today’s price:O: 52.31 H: 53.21 L: 52.06 C: 52.59
Price is -0.7% down from previous close.
Despite a 19-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 52.59 showing a gain of -10.6%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,687 4,070 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1580.9 1392.6 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1392.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 24, 2026, SPX fell -0.37%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market turbulence is picking up.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 23, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is Currently Invested (-10.0%)
Today’s price:O: 53.36 H: 54.11 L: 52.73 C: 52.96
Price is 2.1% up from previous close.
Despite a 18-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 52.96 showing a gain of -10.0%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,742 4,163 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1599.3 1423.1 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1423.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 23, 2026, SPX rose +1.15%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and short-term swings are intensifying.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 20, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is Currently Invested (-11.8%)
Today’s price:O: 53.17 H: 53.19 L: 51.27 C: 51.86
Price is -2.9% down from previous close.
Despite a 17-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 51.86 showing a gain of -11.8%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,575 3,885 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1554.1 1341.2 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1341.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 20, 2026, SPX fell -1.51%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and price fluctuations are increasing.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 19, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (-9.2%)
Today’s price:O: 52.96 H: 53.92 L: 52.68 C: 53.42
Price is -0.6% down from previous close.
Despite a 16-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.42 showing a gain of -9.2%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,799 4,280 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1623.7 1465.4 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1465.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 19, 2026, SPX fell -0.27%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and short-term swings are intensifying.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 18, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – Position Open – In the Market (-8.7%)
Today’s price:O: 54.85 H: 55.06 L: 53.68 C: 53.73
Price is -2.8% down from previous close.
Despite a 15-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.73 showing a gain of -8.7%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,840 4,358 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1637.9 1491.2 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1491.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 18, 2026, SPX fell -1.36%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and market turbulence is picking up.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 17, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is Currently Invested (-6.1%)
Today’s price:O: 55.51 H: 55.85 L: 55.13 C: 55.25
Price is 0.5% up from previous close.
Despite a 14-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 55.25 showing a gain of -6.1%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 5,045 4,743 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1701.2 1610.4 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1610.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 17, 2026, SPX rose +0.25%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and price fluctuations are increasing.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 16, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – Active Trade in Progress (-6.6%)
Today’s price:O: 54.85 H: 55.46 L: 54.67 C: 54.95
Price is 2.0% up from previous close.
Despite a 13-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 54.95 showing a gain of -6.6%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 5,007 4,667 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1692.0 1589.2 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1589.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 16, 2026, SPX rose +1.01%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and short-term swings are intensifying.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
The content on this site is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The strategies shared reflect personal research and experience and may not be suitable for others. Always consult an independent financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This blog does not offer financial services or maintain any contractual relationship with its readers.










