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A Trading System for the S&P500

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 20, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (4.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 61.38 H: 61.58 L: 60.93 C: 61.37

    Price is -0.4% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 5 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 61.37 showing a gain of 4.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,925 6,292
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 18.9 19.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of April 20, 2026, SPX fell -0.24%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 20, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – Active Trade in Progress (4.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 61.38 H: 61.58 L: 60.93 C: 61.37

    Price is -0.4% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 5 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 61.37 showing a gain of 4.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,925 6,292
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 18.9 19.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 17, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (4.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 60.94 H: 62.02 L: 60.90 C: 61.62

    Price is 2.4% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 4 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 61.62 showing a gain of 4.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,963 6,355
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 19.0 20.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 17, 2026 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (4.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 60.94 H: 62.02 L: 60.90 C: 61.62

    Price is 2.4% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 4 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 61.62 showing a gain of 4.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,963 6,355
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 19.0 20.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 16, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System is Currently Invested (2.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 60.09 H: 60.38 L: 59.67 C: 60.19

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 3 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 60.19 showing a gain of 2.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,773 5,993
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 18.5 19.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 15, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System is Currently Invested (1.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.13 H: 59.97 L: 58.95 C: 59.90

    Price is 1.5% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 2 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.90 showing a gain of 1.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,732 5,920
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 18.4 19.0

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 14, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System is Currently Invested (0.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 57.87 H: 59.02 L: 57.85 C: 58.99

    Price is 2.4% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 1 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 58.99 showing a gain of 0.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,608 5,690
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 18.1 18.3

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 18.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 13, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System Holding a Position (-2.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 56.14 H: 57.62 L: 56.02 C: 57.58

    Price is 1.9% up from previous close.

    Despite a 32-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.58 showing a gain of -2.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,338 5,333
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 17.4 17.3

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 17.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 10, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (-4.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 56.80 H: 56.92 L: 56.34 C: 56.50

    Price is -0.2% down from previous close.

    Despite a 31-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 56.50 showing a gain of -4.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,271 5,059
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 17.2 16.6

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 16.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 09, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (-3.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 55.78 H: 56.81 L: 55.59 C: 56.60

    Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

    Despite a 30-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 56.60 showing a gain of -3.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,288 5,085
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 17.3 16.7

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 16.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

The content on this site is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The strategies shared reflect personal research and experience and may not be suitable for others. Always consult an independent financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This blog does not offer financial services or maintain any contractual relationship with its readers.

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