• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 13, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System Holding a Position (-8.4%)

  Today’s price:O: 55.02 H: 55.52 L: 53.74 C: 53.88
  

  Price is -1.2% down from previous close.

  Despite a 12-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

  The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.88 showing a gain of -8.4%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	4,857	4,396
  OK	n/a	91.7%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	1652.3	1511.4

  Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 7274%
  System Quality Number: 3.3

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1511.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 1:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

  As of March 13, 2026, SPX fell -0.61%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and short-term swings are intensifying.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  March 13, 2026

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 12, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Position Open – In the Market (-7.3%)

  Today’s price:O: 55.36 H: 55.45 L: 54.50 C: 54.51
  

  Price is -3.1% down from previous close.

  Despite a 11-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

  The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 54.51 showing a gain of -7.3%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	4,947	4,556
  OK	n/a	91.7%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	1681.6	1562.3

  Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 7274%
  System Quality Number: 3.3

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1562.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 1:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

  As of March 12, 2026, SPX fell -1.52%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and volatility is expanding.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  March 12, 2026

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 11, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (-4.4%)

  Today’s price:O: 56.47 H: 56.87 L: 55.75 C: 56.25
  

  Price is -0.2% down from previous close.

  Despite a 10-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

  The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 56.25 showing a gain of -4.4%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,179	4,996
  OK	n/a	91.7%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	1753.1	1698.2

  Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 7274%
  System Quality Number: 3.3

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1698.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 4:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

  As of March 11, 2026, SPX fell -0.08%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price fluctuations are increasing.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  March 11, 2026

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 10, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – Position Open – In the Market (-4.2%)

  Today’s price:O: 56.49 H: 57.42 L: 56.00 C: 56.37
  

  Price is -0.4% down from previous close.

  Despite a 9-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

  The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 56.37 showing a gain of -4.2%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,191	5,026
  OK	n/a	91.7%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	1763.9	1714.1

  Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 7274%
  System Quality Number: 3.3

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1714.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 3:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

  As of March 10, 2026, SPX fell -0.21%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and the pace of movement is slowing.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  March 10, 2026

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 09, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System is Currently Invested (-3.8%)

  Today’s price:O: 54.62 H: 56.86 L: 53.96 C: 56.60
  

  Price is 1.8% up from previous close.

  Despite a 8-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

  The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 56.60 showing a gain of -3.8%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,224	5,085
  OK	n/a	91.7%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	1775.7	1733.7

  Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 7274%
  System Quality Number: 3.3

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1733.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 3:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

  As of March 09, 2026, SPX rose +0.83%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and the pace of movement is slowing.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  March 9, 2026

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 06, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – Active Trade in Progress (-5.5%)

  Today’s price:O: 55.80 H: 56.24 L: 55.18 C: 55.62
  

  Price is -2.7% down from previous close.

  Despite a 7-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

  The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 55.62 showing a gain of -5.5%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,098	4,837
  OK	n/a	91.7%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	1743.9	1664.1

  Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 7274%
  System Quality Number: 3.3

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1664.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 2:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

  As of March 06, 2026, SPX fell -1.33%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market fluctuations are calming down.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  March 6, 2026

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 05, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (-2.8%)

  Today’s price:O: 57.26 H: 57.85 L: 56.19 C: 57.16
  

  Price is -1.1% down from previous close.

  Despite a 6-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

  The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.16 showing a gain of -2.8%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,302	5,226
  OK	n/a	91.7%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	1807.4	1784.7

  Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 7274%
  System Quality Number: 3.3

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1784.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 2:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

  As of March 05, 2026, SPX fell -0.56%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and market fluctuations are calming down.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  March 5, 2026

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 04, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System is Currently Invested (-1.7%)

  Today’s price:O: 57.22 H: 58.12 L: 56.89 C: 57.81
  

  Price is 1.4% up from previous close.

  Despite a 5-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

  The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.81 showing a gain of -1.7%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,388	5,391
  OK	n/a	91.7%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	1835.7	1836.4

  Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 7274%
  System Quality Number: 3.3

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1836.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 2:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

  As of March 04, 2026, SPX rose +0.78%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market fluctuations are calming down.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  March 4, 2026

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 03, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (-3.1%)

  Today’s price:O: 56.12 H: 57.39 L: 55.20 C: 56.99
  

  Price is -1.8% down from previous close.

  Despite a 4-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

  The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 56.99 showing a gain of -3.1%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,270	5,183
  OK	n/a	91.7%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	1802.1	1775.8

  Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 7274%
  System Quality Number: 3.3

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1775.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 2:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

  As of March 03, 2026, SPX fell -0.94%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and the pace of movement is slowing.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  March 3, 2026

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 02, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (-1.4%)

  Today’s price:O: 56.72 H: 58.40 L: 56.63 C: 58.03
  

  Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

  Despite a 3-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

  The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 58.03 showing a gain of -1.4%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,416	5,447
  OK	n/a	91.7%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	1848.2	1857.5

  Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 7274%
  System Quality Number: 3.3

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1857.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 2:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

  As of March 02, 2026, SPX rose +0.04%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and volatility is easing.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  March 2, 2026

The content on this site is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The strategies shared reflect personal research and experience and may not be suitable for others. Always consult an independent financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This blog does not offer financial services or maintain any contractual relationship with its readers.