SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 09, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System is Currently Invested (16.5%)

Today’s price:O: 67.39 H: 68.23 L: 67.10 C: 68.17

Price is 1.7% up from previous close.

Despite a 20-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 68.17 showing a gain of 16.5%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 22.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 3:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

As of July 09, 2026, SPX rose +0.81%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and the pace of movement is slowing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com