Author: manolin

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 28, 2026 – Upward Momentum Continues – Awaiting Re-entry Signal.

    Today’s price:O: 61.83 H: 62.01 L: 61.38 C: 61.80

    Price is -1.0% down from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 11 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,992 461
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 18.9 1.7

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of April 28, 2026, SPX fell -0.49%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 27, 2026 – Upward Momentum Continues – System is on the Sidelines.

    Today’s price:O: 62.07 H: 62.49 L: 61.92 C: 62.42

    Price is 0.3% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 10 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,070 461
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.1 1.7

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of April 27, 2026, SPX rose +0.12%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 24, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System is on the Sidelines.

    Today’s price:O: 61.66 H: 62.31 L: 61.37 C: 62.21

    Price is 1.5% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 9 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,051 461
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.1 1.7

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of April 24, 2026, SPX rose +0.80%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 24, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – No Active Position.

    Today’s price:O: 61.66 H: 62.31 L: 61.37 C: 62.21

    Price is 1.5% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 9 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,051 461
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.1 1.7

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of April 24, 2026, SPX rose +0.80%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 23, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – Currently Not Invested.

    Today’s price:O: 61.49 H: 61.97 L: 60.23 C: 61.31

    Price is -0.8% down from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 8 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 03, Jul 2025

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 1,320 -3,566
    OK n/a 75.0%
    DrDwn 9.1% 50.0%
    Cagr 16.7 -42.2

    Closed Ops: 4 – Won: 3 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 29%
    System Quality Number: -0.7

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of -42.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 9.1 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 75.0, with 3 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of April 23, 2026, SPX fell -0.41%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 22, 2026 – Upward Momentum Continues – System is Currently Invested (5.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 61.45 H: 61.83 L: 61.28 C: 61.78

    Price is 2.0% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 7 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 61.78 showing a gain of 5.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,990 6,396
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 19.0 20.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of April 22, 2026, SPX rose +1.05%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 20, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (4.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 61.38 H: 61.58 L: 60.93 C: 61.37

    Price is -0.4% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 5 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 61.37 showing a gain of 4.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,925 6,292
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 18.9 19.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of April 20, 2026, SPX fell -0.24%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 20, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – Active Trade in Progress (4.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 61.38 H: 61.58 L: 60.93 C: 61.37

    Price is -0.4% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 5 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 61.37 showing a gain of 4.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,925 6,292
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 18.9 19.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 17, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (4.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 60.94 H: 62.02 L: 60.90 C: 61.62

    Price is 2.4% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 4 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 61.62 showing a gain of 4.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,963 6,355
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 19.0 20.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 17, 2026 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (4.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 60.94 H: 62.02 L: 60.90 C: 61.62

    Price is 2.4% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 4 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 61.62 showing a gain of 4.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,963 6,355
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 19.0 20.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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