Author: manolin

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 29, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (13.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.58 H: 66.46 L: 64.82 C: 66.35

    Price is 3.0% up from previous close.

    Despite a 13-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 66.35 showing a gain of 13.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,667 7,655
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.4 21.8

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 29, 2026, SPX rose +1.18%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 26, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – Position Open – In the Market (10.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 64.26 H: 65.61 L: 63.90 C: 64.42

    Price is -1.0% down from previous close.

    Despite a 12-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 64.42 showing a gain of 10.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,474 7,160
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.0 20.7

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 26, 2026, SPX fell -0.05%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 25, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – Active Trade in Progress (11.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.05 H: 66.13 L: 64.42 C: 65.05

    Price is -0.0% down from previous close.

    Despite a 11-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 65.05 showing a gain of 11.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,482 7,321
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.0 21.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 25, 2026, SPX fell -0.01%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 24, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Position Open – In the Market (11.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.40 H: 66.25 L: 64.65 C: 65.06

    Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

    Despite a 10-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 65.06 showing a gain of 11.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,483 7,324
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.0 21.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 24, 2026, SPX fell -0.10%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 23, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – Position Open – In the Market (3.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.28 H: 66.35 L: 65.03 C: 65.28

    Price is -2.9% down from previous close.

    Despite a 9-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 65.28 showing a loss of 3.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,500 776
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.1 2.6

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 23, 2026, SPX fell -1.44%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 22, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – Active Trade in Progress (6.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 67.82 H: 68.26 L: 66.99 C: 67.20

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    Despite a 8-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 67.20 showing a loss of 6.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,740 1,077
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.7 3.6

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 22, 2026, SPX fell -0.37%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 18, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (7.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 67.84 H: 67.92 L: 67.15 C: 67.61

    Price is 1.9% up from previous close.

    Despite a 7-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 67.61 showing a loss of 7.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,802 1,142
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.0 3.9

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 18, 2026, SPX rose +1.08%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 18, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (7.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 67.84 H: 67.92 L: 67.15 C: 67.61

    Price is 1.9% up from previous close.

    Despite a 7-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 67.61 showing a loss of 7.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,802 1,142
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.0 3.9

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 18, 2026, SPX rose +1.08%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 17, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System is Currently Invested (5.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.19 H: 68.35 L: 66.01 C: 66.35

    Price is -2.5% down from previous close.

    Despite a 6-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 66.35 showing a loss of 5.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,622 944
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.5 3.2

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 17, 2026, SPX fell -1.21%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 16, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (7.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.80 H: 68.95 L: 67.95 C: 68.04

    Price is -1.1% down from previous close.

    Despite a 5-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 68.04 showing a loss of 7.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,826 1,209
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.1 4.1

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 4.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 16, 2026, SPX fell -0.57%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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