Author: manolin

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – August 07, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System Holding a Position (22.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 71.31 H: 71.83 L: 71.05 C: 71.68

    Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

    Despite a 41-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 71.68 showing a gain of 22.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 7,378 9,025
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 20.3 24.0

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 24.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of August 07, 2026, SPX rose +0.62%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – August 06, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – Position Open – In the Market (21.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 71.17 H: 71.47 L: 70.67 C: 70.88

    Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

    Despite a 40-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 70.88 showing a gain of 21.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 7,271 8,819
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 20.1 23.6

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 23.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of August 06, 2026, SPX fell -0.18%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – August 05, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – Position Open – In the Market (21.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 72.24 H: 72.42 L: 71.06 C: 71.12

    Price is -0.4% down from previous close.

    Despite a 39-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 71.12 showing a gain of 21.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 7,302 8,881
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 20.2 23.7

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 23.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of August 05, 2026, SPX fell -0.17%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – August 04, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Position Open – In the Market (22.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 69.46 H: 71.79 L: 69.45 C: 71.39

    Price is 3.6% up from previous close.

    Despite a 38-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 71.39 showing a gain of 22.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 7,331 8,950
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 20.2 23.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 23.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of August 04, 2026, SPX rose +1.79%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – August 03, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System Holding a Position (17.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 67.44 H: 69.09 L: 67.40 C: 68.94

    Price is 2.9% up from previous close.

    Despite a 37-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 68.94 showing a gain of 17.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 7,026 8,321
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.6 22.5

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 22.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of August 03, 2026, SPX rose +1.48%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 31, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Position Open – In the Market (14.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.63 H: 67.36 L: 65.36 C: 66.99

    Price is 1.3% up from previous close.

    Despite a 36-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 66.99 showing a gain of 14.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,778 7,820
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.0 21.5

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of July 31, 2026, SPX rose +0.70%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 30, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System Holding a Position (12.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.10 H: 66.23 L: 64.87 C: 66.10

    Price is 3.3% up from previous close.

    Despite a 35-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 66.10 showing a gain of 12.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,661 7,591
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 18.8 21.0

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of July 30, 2026, SPX rose +1.66%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 29, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – Position Open – In the Market (9.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.84 H: 66.33 L: 63.91 C: 64.01

    Price is -3.0% down from previous close.

    Despite a 34-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 64.01 showing a gain of 9.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,389 7,054
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 18.1 19.7

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of July 29, 2026, SPX fell -1.52%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 28, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – Active Trade in Progress (12.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.72 H: 66.33 L: 65.16 C: 65.98

    Price is 0.4% up from previous close.

    Despite a 33-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 65.98 showing a gain of 12.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,641 7,560
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 18.8 20.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of July 28, 2026, SPX rose +0.21%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 27, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System is Currently Invested (12.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.75 H: 66.85 L: 65.14 C: 65.70

    Price is 0.0% up from previous close.

    Despite a 32-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 65.70 showing a gain of 12.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,606 7,488
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 18.7 20.8

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of July 27, 2026, SPX rose +0.02%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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