Category: Log

Daily system log

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 16, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (7.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.80 H: 68.95 L: 67.95 C: 68.04

    Price is -1.1% down from previous close.

    Despite a 5-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 68.04 showing a loss of 7.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,826 1,209
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.1 4.1

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 4.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 16, 2026, SPX fell -0.57%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 15, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System is Currently Invested (8.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.32 H: 69.19 L: 68.31 C: 68.82

    Price is 3.5% up from previous close.

    Despite a 4-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 68.82 showing a loss of 8.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,923 1,332
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.3 4.5

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 4.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of June 15, 2026, SPX rose +1.65%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 12, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System Holding a Position (5.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.32 H: 66.99 L: 65.32 C: 66.51

    Price is 1.0% up from previous close.

    Despite a 3-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 66.51 showing a loss of 5.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,647 969
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.7 3.3

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of June 12, 2026, SPX rose +0.50%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 11, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Position Open – In the Market (4.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 64.24 H: 66.23 L: 63.50 C: 65.83

    Price is 3.4% up from previous close.

    Despite a 2-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 65.83 showing a loss of 4.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,564 862
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.5 3.0

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of June 11, 2026, SPX rose +1.75%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 10, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (0.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.09 H: 65.98 L: 63.67 C: 63.67

    Price is -3.2% down from previous close.

    Despite a 1-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 63.67 showing a loss of 0.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,279 523
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 18.8 1.8

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of June 10, 2026, SPX fell -1.62%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 09, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System Holding a Position (4.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.94 H: 67.53 L: 63.19 C: 65.79

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 40 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 65.79 showing a loss of 4.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,547 856
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.5 2.9

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of June 09, 2026, SPX fell -0.26%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 08, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (4.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.89 H: 67.26 L: 66.00 C: 66.17

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 39 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 66.17 showing a loss of 4.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,590 916
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.6 3.1

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of June 08, 2026, SPX rose +0.30%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 05, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Active Trade in Progress (4.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.59 H: 68.67 L: 65.50 C: 65.86

    Price is -5.2% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 38 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 65.86 showing a loss of 4.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,540 867
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.5 3.0

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of June 05, 2026, SPX fell -2.64%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 04, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (9.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.57 H: 69.72 L: 68.47 C: 69.47

    Price is 0.7% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 37 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 69.47 showing a loss of 9.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,990 1,434
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.7 4.9

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 4.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of June 04, 2026, SPX rose +0.41%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 04, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (9.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.57 H: 69.72 L: 68.47 C: 69.47

    Price is 0.7% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 37 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 69.47 showing a loss of 9.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,990 1,434
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.7 4.9

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 4.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of June 04, 2026, SPX rose +0.41%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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