SP500 Trading Strategy Update – August 07, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System Holding a Position (22.4%)

Today’s price:O: 71.31 H: 71.83 L: 71.05 C: 71.68

Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

Despite a 41-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 71.68 showing a gain of 22.4%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 7,378 9,025
OK n/a 91.7%
DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
Cagr 20.3 24.0

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 24.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of August 07, 2026, SPX rose +0.62%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and price fluctuations are increasing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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