SP500 Trading Strategy Update – August 06, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – Position Open – In the Market (21.1%)

Today’s price:O: 71.17 H: 71.47 L: 70.67 C: 70.88

Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

Despite a 40-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 70.88 showing a gain of 21.1%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 7,271 8,819
OK n/a 91.7%
DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
Cagr 20.1 23.6

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 23.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of August 06, 2026, SPX fell -0.18%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and market turbulence is picking up.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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