Tag: Systematic Investing

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 10, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System is Currently Invested (17.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.23 H: 68.83 L: 67.52 C: 68.72

    Price is 0.8% up from previous close.

    Despite a 21-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 68.72 showing a gain of 17.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,970 8,264
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.9 23.0

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 23.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of July 10, 2026, SPX rose +0.42%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 08, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (14.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 66.67 H: 67.19 L: 66.00 C: 67.03

    Price is -0.7% down from previous close.

    Despite a 19-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 67.03 showing a gain of 14.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,762 7,830
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.4 22.0

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 22.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of July 08, 2026, SPX fell -0.28%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 24, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Position Open – In the Market (11.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.40 H: 66.25 L: 64.65 C: 65.06

    Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

    Despite a 10-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 65.06 showing a gain of 11.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,483 7,324
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.0 21.1

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 24, 2026, SPX fell -0.10%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 17, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System is Currently Invested (5.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.19 H: 68.35 L: 66.01 C: 66.35

    Price is -2.5% down from previous close.

    Despite a 6-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 66.35 showing a loss of 5.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,622 944
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.5 3.2

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of June 17, 2026, SPX fell -1.21%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is easing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 10, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (0.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 65.09 H: 65.98 L: 63.67 C: 63.67

    Price is -3.2% down from previous close.

    Despite a 1-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 63.67 showing a loss of 0.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,279 523
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 18.8 1.8

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1.8%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of June 10, 2026, SPX fell -1.62%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 02, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System Holding a Position (10.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 69.51 H: 70.12 L: 69.46 C: 69.97

    Price is 0.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 35 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 69.97 showing a loss of 10.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 7,047 1,512
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.9 5.1

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 5.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of June 02, 2026, SPX rose +0.13%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 02, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System Holding a Position (10.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 69.51 H: 70.12 L: 69.46 C: 69.97

    Price is 0.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 35 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 69.97 showing a loss of 10.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 7,047 1,512
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.9 5.1

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 5.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of June 02, 2026, SPX rose +0.13%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 28, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System Holding a Position (9.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.33 H: 69.22 L: 68.14 C: 69.12

    Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 32 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 69.12 showing a loss of 9.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,943 1,379
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.7 4.7

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 4.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of May 28, 2026, SPX rose +0.58%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 06, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – Active Trade in Progress (3.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 64.60 H: 65.74 L: 64.55 C: 65.61

    Price is 2.8% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 17 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 65.61 showing a loss of 3.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,499 828
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.1 3.0

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of May 06, 2026, SPX rose +1.46%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 04, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (-0.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 63.21 H: 63.56 L: 62.32 C: 62.86

    Price is -0.7% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 15 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 62.86 showing a loss of -0.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,131 396
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.1 1.4

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of May 04, 2026, SPX fell -0.41%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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