Tag: Systematic Investing

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 02, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System Holding a Position (10.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 69.51 H: 70.12 L: 69.46 C: 69.97

    Price is 0.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 35 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 69.97 showing a loss of 10.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 7,047 1,512
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.9 5.1

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 5.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of June 02, 2026, SPX rose +0.13%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 02, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System Holding a Position (10.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 69.51 H: 70.12 L: 69.46 C: 69.97

    Price is 0.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 35 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 69.97 showing a loss of 10.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 7,047 1,512
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.9 5.1

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 5.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of June 02, 2026, SPX rose +0.13%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 28, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – System Holding a Position (9.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 68.33 H: 69.22 L: 68.14 C: 69.12

    Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 32 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 69.12 showing a loss of 9.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,943 1,379
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.7 4.7

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 4.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of May 28, 2026, SPX rose +0.58%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 06, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – Active Trade in Progress (3.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 64.60 H: 65.74 L: 64.55 C: 65.61

    Price is 2.8% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 17 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 65.61 showing a loss of 3.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,499 828
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 20.1 3.0

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of May 06, 2026, SPX rose +1.46%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 04, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (-0.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 63.21 H: 63.56 L: 62.32 C: 62.86

    Price is -0.7% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 15 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 62.86 showing a loss of -0.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,131 396
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.1 1.4

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of May 04, 2026, SPX fell -0.41%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 24, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – No Active Position.

    Today’s price:O: 61.66 H: 62.31 L: 61.37 C: 62.21

    Price is 1.5% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 9 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,051 461
    OK n/a 82.4%
    DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
    Cagr 19.1 1.7

    Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
    Profit Ratio: 106%
    System Quality Number: 0.1

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of April 24, 2026, SPX rose +0.80%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 13, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System Holding a Position (-2.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 56.14 H: 57.62 L: 56.02 C: 57.58

    Price is 1.9% up from previous close.

    Despite a 32-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.58 showing a gain of -2.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,338 5,333
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.5%
    Cagr 17.4 17.3

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 17.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and short-term swings are intensifying.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 17, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is Currently Invested (-6.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 55.51 H: 55.85 L: 55.13 C: 55.25

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    Despite a 14-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 55.25 showing a gain of -6.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,045 4,743
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1701.2 1610.4

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1610.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of March 17, 2026, SPX rose +0.25%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – February 23, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – Position Open – In the Market (-2.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.35 H: 58.70 L: 57.09 C: 57.41

    Price is -2.0% down from previous close.

    Despite a 7-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 57.41 showing a gain of -2.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,317 5,290
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1833.5 1825.0

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1825.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of February 23, 2026, SPX fell -1.04%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – February 11, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (0.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 59.95 H: 60.07 L: 58.71 C: 59.22

    Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 4 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.22 showing a gain of 0.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,550 5,748
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1931.3 1991.9

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1991.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of February 11, 2026, SPX fell -0.00%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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