SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 17, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – Active Trade in Progress (13.6%)

Today’s price:O: 66.31 H: 67.28 L: 66.11 C: 66.52

Price is -2.1% down from previous close.

Despite a 26-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 66.52 showing a gain of 13.6%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 6,706 7,699
OK n/a 91.7%
DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
Cagr 19.1 21.5

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

As of July 17, 2026, SPX fell -1.01%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and market turbulence is picking up.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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