SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 20, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (13.3%)

Today’s price:O: 67.19 H: 67.50 L: 66.23 C: 66.33

Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

Despite a 27-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 66.33 showing a gain of 13.3%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 4:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

As of July 20, 2026, SPX fell -0.19%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price fluctuations are increasing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com