Tag: Down trend 27 days

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 20, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (13.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 67.19 H: 67.50 L: 66.23 C: 66.33

    Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

    Despite a 27-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

    The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 66.33 showing a gain of 13.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 6,674 7,650
    OK n/a 91.7%
    DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
    Cagr 19.0 21.3

    Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 7274%
    System Quality Number: 3.3

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of July 20, 2026, SPX fell -0.19%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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