SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 17, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (6.3%)

Today’s price:O: 109.46 H: 111.52 L: 109.02 C: 111.07

Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 82 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 111.07 showing a gain of 6.3%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of October 17, 2025, SPX rose +0.53%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — Volatility and price seem temporarily unaligned — the ongoing trend is strong enough to override normal cycle behaviour. Despite rising volatility, prices continue to advance, indicating an uptrend strong enough to defy typical cycle pressure.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com