SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 16, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – Active Trade in Progress (5.2%)

Today’s price:O: 111.97 H: 112.59 L: 108.73 C: 109.91

Price is -1.3% down from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 81 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 109.91 showing a gain of 5.2%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 18.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of October 16, 2025, SPX fell -0.63%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

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