SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 13, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (1.7%)

Today’s price:O: 60.16 H: 60.23 L: 59.42 C: 59.82

Price is -0.4% down from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 16 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 59.82 showing a gain of 1.7%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,600 5,900
OK n/a 91.7%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 2015.1 2110.0

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2110.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

As of January 13, 2026, SPX fell -0.19%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and volatility is easing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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