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A Trading System for the S&P500

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 08, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (9.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 113.38 H: 114.38 L: 113.12 C: 114.34

    Price is 1.2% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 75 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 114.34 showing a gain of 9.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,129 5,060
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 21.2 20.9

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 08, 2025, SPX rose +0.58%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 07, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (8.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 114.20 H: 114.34 L: 112.54 C: 113.03

    Price is -0.7% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 74 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.03 showing a gain of 8.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,041 4,895
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.9 20.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Volatility Analysis

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of October 07, 2025, SPX fell -0.38%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg or the final stretch of the one that started in quadrant 4. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 06, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Active Trade in Progress (9.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 113.88 H: 114.17 L: 113.18 C: 113.87

    Price is 0.7% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 73 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.87 showing a gain of 9.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,099 5,001
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 21.1 20.7

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Up trend 73 days,No-Emotion Investment Strategy

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 03, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System Holding a Position (8.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 113.36 H: 114.26 L: 112.77 C: 113.09

    Price is -0.0% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 72 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.09 showing a gain of 8.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,044 4,903
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 21.0 20.5

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Up trend 72 days,Free Trading Strategy

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 02, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Active Trade in Progress (8.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 113.56 H: 113.59 L: 112.33 C: 113.12

    Price is 0.2% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 71 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.12 showing a gain of 8.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,043 4,907
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 21.0 20.5

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Up trend 71 days,Quantitative System for Retail Investors

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 01, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – System Holding a Position (8.1%)

    Today’s price:O: 111.13 H: 113.22 L: 111.10 C: 112.92

    Price is 0.7% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 70 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 112.92 showing a gain of 8.1%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,034 4,882
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 21.0 20.4

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Up trend 70 days,Quantitative System for Retail Investors

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – September 30, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Position Open – In the Market (7.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 111.06 H: 112.31 L: 110.63 C: 112.13

    Price is 0.7% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 69 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 112.13 showing a gain of 7.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,983 4,782
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.8 20.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Up trend 69 days,High Return Low Risk

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – September 29, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (6.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 111.58 H: 111.84 L: 110.73 C: 111.32

    Price is 0.6% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 68 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 111.32 showing a gain of 6.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,922 4,680
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.6 19.7

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Up trend 68 days,S&P500 ETF Rotation Strategy

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – September 26, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (6.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 109.97 H: 110.90 L: 109.46 C: 110.71

    Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 67 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 110.71 showing a gain of 6.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,883 4,603
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.6 19.5

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Up trend 67 days,No-Emotion Investment Strategy

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – September 25, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (4.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 109.49 H: 109.98 L: 108.33 C: 109.51

    Price is -0.9% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 66 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 109.51 showing a gain of 4.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,795 4,452
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.3 19.0

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


    Up trend 66 days,Free Trading Strategy


The content on this site is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The strategies shared reflect personal research and experience and may not be suitable for others. Always consult an independent financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This blog does not offer financial services or maintain any contractual relationship with its readers.

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