• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 22, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (7.4%)

  Today’s price:O: 113.59 H: 113.59 L: 110.67 C: 112.19
  

  Price is -1.0% down from previous close.

  The current uptrend has been active for 85 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

  The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 112.19 showing a gain of 7.4%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,007	4,790
  OK	n/a	88.9%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	20.3	19.5

  Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 5848%
  System Quality Number: 3.0

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 2:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

  As of October 22, 2025, SPX fell -0.53%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this can signal the closing phase of a bearish leg initiated in quadrant 1. Even as volatility eases, prices remain under pressure — suggesting that sellers still dominate the short-term tone.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  October 22, 2025

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 21, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (8.5%)

  Today’s price:O: 113.43 H: 113.93 L: 112.97 C: 113.34
  

  Price is -0.0% down from previous close.

  The current uptrend has been active for 84 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

  The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.34 showing a gain of 8.5%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,088	4,934
  OK	n/a	88.9%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	20.6	20.1

  Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 5848%
  System Quality Number: 3.0

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 2:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

  As of October 21, 2025, SPX rose +0.00%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  October 21, 2025

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 20, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System is Currently Invested (8.6%)

  Today’s price:O: 112.06 H: 113.69 L: 112.06 C: 113.39
  

  Price is 2.1% up from previous close.

  The current uptrend has been active for 83 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

  The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.39 showing a gain of 8.6%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,087	4,941
  OK	n/a	88.9%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	20.6	20.1

  Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 5848%
  System Quality Number: 3.0

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 2:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

  As of October 20, 2025, SPX rose +1.07%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  October 20, 2025

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 17, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (6.3%)

  Today’s price:O: 109.46 H: 111.52 L: 109.02 C: 111.07
  

  Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

  The current uptrend has been active for 82 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

  The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 111.07 showing a gain of 6.3%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	4,928	4,648
  OK	n/a	88.9%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	20.1	19.1

  Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 5848%
  System Quality Number: 3.0

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 1:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

  As of October 17, 2025, SPX rose +0.53%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — Volatility and price seem temporarily unaligned — the ongoing trend is strong enough to override normal cycle behaviour. Despite rising volatility, prices continue to advance, indicating an uptrend strong enough to defy typical cycle pressure.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  October 17, 2025

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 16, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – Active Trade in Progress (5.2%)

  Today’s price:O: 111.97 H: 112.59 L: 108.73 C: 109.91
  

  Price is -1.3% down from previous close.

  The current uptrend has been active for 81 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

  The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 109.91 showing a gain of 5.2%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	4,850	4,502
  OK	n/a	88.9%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	19.9	18.6

  Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 5848%
  System Quality Number: 3.0

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 18.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 1:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

  As of October 16, 2025, SPX fell -0.63%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  October 16, 2025

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 15, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (6.7%)

  Today’s price:O: 111.96 H: 113.06 L: 109.35 C: 111.40
  

  Price is 0.8% up from previous close.

  The current uptrend has been active for 80 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

  The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 111.40 showing a gain of 6.7%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	4,944	4,690
  OK	n/a	88.9%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	20.3	19.3

  Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 5848%
  System Quality Number: 3.0

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 1:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

  As of October 15, 2025, SPX rose +0.40%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — Volatility and price seem temporarily unaligned — the ongoing trend is strong enough to override normal cycle behaviour. Despite rising volatility, prices continue to advance, indicating an uptrend strong enough to defy typical cycle pressure.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  October 15, 2025

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 14, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System is Currently Invested (5.8%)

  Today’s price:O: 108.78 H: 111.65 L: 107.46 C: 110.47
  

  Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

  The current uptrend has been active for 79 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

  The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 110.47 showing a gain of 5.8%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	4,884	4,573
  OK	n/a	88.9%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	20.1	18.9

  Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 5848%
  System Quality Number: 3.0

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 18.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 1:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

  As of October 14, 2025, SPX fell -0.16%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  October 14, 2025

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 13, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System is Currently Invested (6.0%)

  Today’s price:O: 109.96 H: 111.27 L: 109.69 C: 110.75
  

  Price is 3.0% up from previous close.

  The current uptrend has been active for 78 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

  The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 110.75 showing a gain of 6.0%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	4,907	4,608
  OK	n/a	88.9%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	20.2	19.1

  Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 5848%
  System Quality Number: 3.0

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 1:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

  As of October 13, 2025, SPX fell +1.56%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  October 13, 2025

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 10, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (2.9%)

  Today’s price:O: 113.96 H: 114.53 L: 107.40 C: 107.49
  

  Price is -5.4% down from previous close.

  The current uptrend has been active for 77 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

  The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 107.49 showing a gain of 2.9%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	4,678	4,197
  OK	n/a	88.9%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	19.4	17.6

  Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 5848%
  System Quality Number: 3.0

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 17.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 1:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

  As of October 10, 2025, SPX fell -2.71%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  October 10, 2025

• SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 09, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (8.8%)

  Today’s price:O: 114.48 H: 114.61 L: 113.03 C: 113.67
  

  Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

  The current uptrend has been active for 76 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

  The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.67 showing a gain of 8.8%.

  SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

  Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

  	Buy & Hold	SPW
  PNL	5,087	4,976
  OK	n/a	88.9%
  DrDwn	18.9%	16.0%
  Cagr	21.0	20.6

  Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
  Profit Ratio: 5848%
  System Quality Number: 3.0

  Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

  SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

  ---

  Volatility Analysis

  Currently in Quadrant 2:

  

  Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

  As of October 09, 2025, SPX fell -0.28%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this can signal the closing phase of a bearish leg initiated in quadrant 1. Even as volatility eases, prices remain under pressure — suggesting that sellers still dominate the short-term tone.

  © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  October 9, 2025

The content on this site is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The strategies shared reflect personal research and experience and may not be suitable for others. Always consult an independent financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This blog does not offer financial services or maintain any contractual relationship with its readers.