SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 20, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System is Currently Invested (8.6%)

Today’s price:O: 112.06 H: 113.69 L: 112.06 C: 113.39

Price is 2.1% up from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 83 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.39 showing a gain of 8.6%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,087 4,941
OK n/a 88.9%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 20.6 20.1

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

SPX 30-day cycle chart

Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

As of October 20, 2025, SPX rose +1.07%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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