SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 20, 2025 – Bearish Trend Developing – System is Currently Invested (-49.1%)

Today’s price:O: 56.60 H: 57.04 L: 53.15 C: 53.21

Price is -51.5% down from previous close.

Despite a 4-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 53.21 showing a loss of -49.1%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5856%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of -12.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 52.7 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of November 20, 2025, SPX fell -1.56%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and volatility is expanding.

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