SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 19, 2025 – Market Direction: Downward – System is Currently Invested (5.1%)

Today’s price:O: 109.20 H: 111.38 L: 108.53 C: 109.79

Price is 0.7% up from previous close.

Despite a 3-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 109.79 showing a gain of 5.1%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5856%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 17.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of November 19, 2025, SPX rose +0.38%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com