SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 18, 2025 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (4.4%)

Today’s price:O: 109.62 H: 110.65 L: 107.59 C: 109.01

Price is -1.7% down from previous close.

Despite a 2-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 109.01 showing a gain of 4.4%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5856%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 17.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 4:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

As of November 18, 2025, SPX fell -0.83%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price fluctuations are increasing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com