SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 26, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – Position Open – In the Market (10.0%)

Today’s price:O: 64.26 H: 65.61 L: 63.90 C: 64.42

Price is -1.0% down from previous close.

Despite a 12-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 64.42 showing a gain of 10.0%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 6,474 7,160
OK n/a 91.7%
DrDwn 18.9% 17.6%
Cagr 19.0 20.7

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.7%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

As of June 26, 2026, SPX fell -0.05%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is easing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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