SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 18, 2025 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is on the Sidelines.

Today’s price:O: 57.08 H: 57.61 L: 56.64 C: 56.90

Price is 1.5% up from previous close.

The S&P500 has been trending down for 2 days. The system remains out of the market, waiting for bullish confirmation.

The system does not hold a position at this time.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
Profit Ratio: 100%
System Quality Number: 2.9

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1975.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 3:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

As of December 18, 2025, SPX rose +0.79%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and the pace of movement is slowing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com