SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 12, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues –

Today’s price:O: 58.98 H: 59.08 L: 57.41 C: 57.84

Price is -2.2% down from previous close.

The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 14 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,270 1,375
OK n/a 100.0%
DrDwn 18.9% 3.9%
Cagr 1986.5 567.1

Closed Ops: 1 – Won: 1 Lost: 0
Profit Ratio: 100%
System Quality Number: 0.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 567.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 3.9 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 1 wins and only 0 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

As of December 15, 2025, SPX fell -0.16%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price action is becoming more orderly.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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