SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 11, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (18.5%) – Sell on next Market Open.

Today’s price:O: 58.46 H: 59.16 L: 57.96 C: 59.15

Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 12 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system has issued a SELL order to be executed al Market Price on next day’s session open.

The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 59.15 showing a gain of 18.5%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,459 5,337
OK n/a 100.0%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 2052.5 2011.6

Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
Profit Ratio: 100%
System Quality Number: 5.2

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2011.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

As of December 11, 2025, SPX rose +0.21%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price action is becoming more orderly.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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