SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 02, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – System is Currently Invested (16.1%)

Today’s price:O: 57.99 H: 58.32 L: 57.57 C: 57.93

Price is 0.3% up from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 5 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 57.93 showing a gain of 16.1%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,299 5,039
OK n/a 100.0%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 2023.2 1934.2

Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
Profit Ratio: 100%
System Quality Number: 5.2

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1934.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

As of December 02, 2025, SPX rose +0.25%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and price action is becoming more orderly.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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