SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 19 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 4,362 | 3,826 |
| OK | n/a | 88.9% |
| DrDwn | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Cagr | 19.6 | 17.4 |
Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 19 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 39,115 | 234,848 |
| OK | n/a | 77.8% |
| DrDwn | 56.8% | 22.6% |
| Cagr | 8.8 | 18.4 |
Closed Ops: 63 – Won: 49 Lost: 14
Profit Ratio: 1204%
System Quality Number: 4.6
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 18 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 4,447 | 3,826 |
| OK | n/a | 88.9% |
| DrDwn | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Cagr | 20.0 | 17.4 |
Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 18 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 39,405 | 234,848 |
| OK | n/a | 77.8% |
| DrDwn | 56.8% | 22.6% |
| Cagr | 8.8 | 18.4 |
Closed Ops: 63 – Won: 49 Lost: 14
Profit Ratio: 1204%
System Quality Number: 4.6
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 15 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 4,448 | 3,826 |
| OK | n/a | 88.9% |
| DrDwn | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Cagr | 20.1 | 17.5 |
Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 15 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 39,410 | 234,848 |
| OK | n/a | 77.8% |
| DrDwn | 56.8% | 22.6% |
| Cagr | 8.8 | 18.4 |
Closed Ops: 63 – Won: 49 Lost: 14
Profit Ratio: 1204%
System Quality Number: 4.6
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 14 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 4,490 | 3,826 |
| OK | n/a | 88.9% |
| DrDwn | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Cagr | 20.3 | 17.5 |
Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 14 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 39,553 | 234,848 |
| OK | n/a | 77.8% |
| DrDwn | 56.8% | 22.6% |
| Cagr | 8.8 | 18.4 |
Closed Ops: 63 – Won: 49 Lost: 14
Profit Ratio: 1204%
System Quality Number: 4.6
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 13 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 4,486 | 3,826 |
| OK | n/a | 88.9% |
| DrDwn | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Cagr | 20.3 | 17.5 |
Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 13 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 39,538 | 234,848 |
| OK | n/a | 77.8% |
| DrDwn | 56.8% | 22.6% |
| Cagr | 8.8 | 18.4 |
Closed Ops: 63 – Won: 49 Lost: 14
Profit Ratio: 1204%
System Quality Number: 4.6
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 12 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 4,439 | 3,753 |
| OK | n/a | 87.5% |
| DrDwn | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Cagr | 20.1 | 17.2 |
Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 7 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 4834%
System Quality Number: 2.5
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 12 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 39,379 | 233,556 |
| OK | n/a | 77.4% |
| DrDwn | 56.8% | 22.6% |
| Cagr | 8.8 | 18.3 |
Closed Ops: 62 – Won: 48 Lost: 14
Profit Ratio: 1147%
System Quality Number: 4.5
At SPWoodpecker, we’ve added a new tool to our homepage: the Sentiment Index (SI).
Updated daily after the market close, the SI appears as a dial showing — in a single number — the “mood” of the S&P 500, from extreme pessimism to full-blown euphoria.
The idea is simple: with a quick glance, you can tell if the wind is at your back or if turbulence lies ahead.
Click on the dial, and you’ll get a daily chart showing the joint evolution of the S&P 500 and the SI, along with a short comment interpreting the current situation.
The SI takes inspiration from CNN’s Fear and Greed Index, which combines multiple metrics to gauge market confidence or fear.
We think it’s a great concept — but it’s not always easy to connect it to concrete investment decisions.
So we built our own indicator with two key differences:
Without going into formulas, the SI blends two complementary “views”:
We average the two, then normalize the result to a 0–100 scale. The goal isn’t to lead or lag — but to highlight when optimism or pessimism dominates.
The SI is not a trading system. It’s a tool for gauging whether we’re in calm waters or rough seas:
This helps you adapt your exposure to your own risk tolerance — whether that means buying into deep pullbacks or waiting for a stronger recovery.
From 1980 to 2025, following the SI’s signals would have reduced the maximum drawdown from 57% to 21%, while slightly underperforming pure buy & hold.
When interest on idle capital is considered, returns come close — but with far less of a roller coaster ride.
Want to know each day if the market is optimistic or nervous?
Check the dial on SPWoodpecker’s homepage, and click for the full chart and daily commentary.
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 11 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 4,277 | 3,481 |
| OK | n/a | 87.5% |
| DrDwn | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Cagr | 19.5 | 16.1 |
Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 7 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 4834%
System Quality Number: 2.5
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 11 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 38,825 | 228,752 |
| OK | n/a | 77.4% |
| DrDwn | 56.8% | 22.6% |
| Cagr | 8.7 | 18.2 |
Closed Ops: 62 – Won: 48 Lost: 14
Profit Ratio: 1147%
System Quality Number: 4.5
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 08 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 4,313 | 3,534 |
| OK | n/a | 87.5% |
| DrDwn | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Cagr | 19.7 | 16.4 |
Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 7 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 4834%
System Quality Number: 2.5
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 08 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 38,947 | 229,687 |
| OK | n/a | 77.4% |
| DrDwn | 56.8% | 22.6% |
| Cagr | 8.7 | 18.3 |
Closed Ops: 62 – Won: 48 Lost: 14
Profit Ratio: 1147%
System Quality Number: 4.5
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 07 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 4,202 | 3,348 |
| OK | n/a | 87.5% |
| DrDwn | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Cagr | 19.3 | 15.6 |
Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 7 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 4834%
System Quality Number: 2.5
SP500 Trading Strategy update for August 07 25
| Buy/Hold | SPW | |
| PNL | 38,569 | 226,404 |
| OK | n/a | 77.4% |
| DrDwn | 56.8% | 22.6% |
| Cagr | 8.7 | 18.2 |
Closed Ops: 62 – Won: 48 Lost: 14
Profit Ratio: 1147%
System Quality Number: 4.5