SP500 Trading Strategy Update – July 21, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – Active Trade in Progress (15.2%)

Today’s price:O: 67.06 H: 67.56 L: 66.69 C: 67.44

Price is 1.7% up from previous close.

Despite a 28-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 67.44 showing a gain of 15.2%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 4:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

As of July 21, 2026, SPX rose +0.89%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and volatility is expanding.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com