SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 04, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (-0.6%)

Today’s price:O: 63.21 H: 63.56 L: 62.32 C: 62.86

Price is -0.7% down from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 15 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 62.86 showing a loss of -0.6%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
Profit Ratio: 106%
System Quality Number: 0.1

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 4:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

As of May 04, 2026, SPX fell -0.41%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and short-term swings are intensifying.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com