SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 21, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Active Trade in Progress (-0.9%)

Today’s price:O: 57.32 H: 58.86 L: 57.09 C: 58.28

Price is 2.3% up from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 1 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 58.28 showing a gain of -0.9%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,402 5,510
OK n/a 91.7%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 1933.0 1967.1

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1967.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

As of January 21, 2026, SPX rose +1.16%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and price fluctuations are increasing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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