SP500 Trading Strategy Update – January 02, 2026 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (-1.2%)

Today’s price:O: 58.54 H: 58.74 L: 57.54 C: 58.10

Price is 0.3% up from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 9 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 58.10 showing a gain of -1.2%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,364 5,086
OK n/a 100.0%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 1965.1 1874.3

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
Profit Ratio: 100%
System Quality Number: 2.9

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1874.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

As of January 02, 2026, SPX rose +0.19%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and short-term swings are intensifying.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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