SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 29, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System Holding a Position (13.6%)

Today’s price:O: 119.14 H: 119.48 L: 117.14 C: 118.65

Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 90 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 118.65 showing a gain of 13.6%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,436 2,695
OK n/a 88.9%
DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
Cagr 21.6 11.4

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 6036%
System Quality Number: 2.9

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 11.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

SPX 30-day cycle chart

Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

As of October 29, 2025, SPX fell -0.00%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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