Tag: No-Emotion Investment Strategy

  • [Cartera : +0.57%] Cartera SPW – 2025-10-31

    Today’s price:O: 117.80 H: 117.81 L: 115.84 C: 116.76

    Price is 0.6% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 92 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 116.76 showing a gain of 11.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,323 2,587
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%
    Cagr 21.2 10.9

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 6036%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 10.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 31, 2025, SPX rose +0.26%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 17, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (6.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 109.46 H: 111.52 L: 109.02 C: 111.07

    Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 82 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 111.07 showing a gain of 6.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,928 4,648
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.1 19.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of October 17, 2025, SPX rose +0.53%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — Volatility and price seem temporarily unaligned — the ongoing trend is strong enough to override normal cycle behaviour. Despite rising volatility, prices continue to advance, indicating an uptrend strong enough to defy typical cycle pressure.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 15, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (6.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 111.96 H: 113.06 L: 109.35 C: 111.40

    Price is 0.8% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 80 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 111.40 showing a gain of 6.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,944 4,690
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.3 19.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of October 15, 2025, SPX rose +0.40%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — Volatility and price seem temporarily unaligned — the ongoing trend is strong enough to override normal cycle behaviour. Despite rising volatility, prices continue to advance, indicating an uptrend strong enough to defy typical cycle pressure.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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