Tag: No-Emotion Investment Strategy

SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 12, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues –

Today’s price:O: 58.98 H: 59.08 L: 57.41 C: 57.84

Price is -2.2% down from previous close.
The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 14 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW

PNL 5,270 1,375

OK n/a 100.0%

DrDwn 18.9% 3.9%

Cagr 1986.5 567.1

Closed Ops: 1 – Won: 1 Lost: 0
Profit Ratio: 100%
System Quality Number: 0.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 567.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 3.9 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 1 wins and only 0 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 3:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

As of December 15, 2025, SPX fell -0.16%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price action is becoming more orderly.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

December 15, 2025
SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 11, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (18.5%) – Sell on next Market Open.

Today’s price:O: 58.46 H: 59.16 L: 57.96 C: 59.15

Price is 0.5% up from previous close.
The current uptrend has been active for 12 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.
The system has issued a SELL order to be executed al Market Price on next day’s session open.
The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 59.15 showing a gain of 18.5%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW

PNL 5,459 5,337

OK n/a 100.0%

DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%

Cagr 2052.5 2011.6

Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
Profit Ratio: 100%
System Quality Number: 5.2

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2011.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 3:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

As of December 11, 2025, SPX rose +0.21%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price action is becoming more orderly.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

December 11, 2025
SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 08, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – System is Currently Invested (16.7%)

Today’s price:O: 58.74 H: 58.75 L: 57.88 C: 58.23

Price is -0.6% down from previous close.
The current uptrend has been active for 9 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.
The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 58.23 showing a gain of 16.7%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW

PNL 5,337 5,112

OK n/a 100.0%

DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%

Cagr 2020.5 1944.3

Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
Profit Ratio: 100%
System Quality Number: 5.2

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1944.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 2:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

As of December 08, 2025, SPX fell -0.35%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and price action is becoming more orderly.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

December 8, 2025
SP500 Trading Strategy Update – November 11, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (11.9%)

Today’s price:O: 115.82 H: 117.07 L: 115.44 C: 116.85

Price is 0.5% up from previous close.
The current uptrend has been active for 99 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.
The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 116.85 showing a gain of 11.9%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW

PNL 5,337 5,363

OK n/a 88.9%

DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%

Cagr 20.9 21.0

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5856%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 21.0%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 3:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

As of November 11, 2025, SPX rose +0.21%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and price action is becoming more orderly.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

November 11, 2025
[Cartera : +0.57%] Cartera SPW – 2025-10-31

Today’s price:O: 117.80 H: 117.81 L: 115.84 C: 116.76

Price is 0.6% up from previous close.
The current uptrend has been active for 92 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.
The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 116.76 showing a gain of 11.8%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW

PNL 5,323 2,587

OK n/a 88.9%

DrDwn 18.9% 8.5%

Cagr 21.2 10.9

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 6036%
System Quality Number: 2.9

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 10.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 8.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 2:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

As of October 31, 2025, SPX rose +0.26%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

October 31, 2025
SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 17, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (6.3%)

Today’s price:O: 109.46 H: 111.52 L: 109.02 C: 111.07

Price is 1.1% up from previous close.
The current uptrend has been active for 82 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.
The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 111.07 showing a gain of 6.3%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW

PNL 4,928 4,648

OK n/a 88.9%

DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%

Cagr 20.1 19.1

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of October 17, 2025, SPX rose +0.53%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — Volatility and price seem temporarily unaligned — the ongoing trend is strong enough to override normal cycle behaviour. Despite rising volatility, prices continue to advance, indicating an uptrend strong enough to defy typical cycle pressure.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

October 17, 2025
SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 15, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (6.7%)

Today’s price:O: 111.96 H: 113.06 L: 109.35 C: 111.40

Price is 0.8% up from previous close.
The current uptrend has been active for 80 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.
The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 111.40 showing a gain of 6.7%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW

PNL 4,944 4,690

OK n/a 88.9%

DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%

Cagr 20.3 19.3

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of October 15, 2025, SPX rose +0.40%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — Volatility and price seem temporarily unaligned — the ongoing trend is strong enough to override normal cycle behaviour. Despite rising volatility, prices continue to advance, indicating an uptrend strong enough to defy typical cycle pressure.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

October 15, 2025

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