SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 08, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (9.5%)

Today’s price:O: 113.38 H: 114.38 L: 113.12 C: 114.34

Price is 1.2% up from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 75 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 114.34 showing a gain of 9.5%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,129 5,060
OK n/a 88.9%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 21.2 20.9

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 5848%
System Quality Number: 3.0

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

SPX 30-day cycle chart

Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

As of October 08, 2025, SPX rose +0.58%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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