SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 19, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Awaiting Re-entry Signal.

Today’s price:O: 57.26 H: 57.99 L: 57.23 C: 57.91

Price is 1.8% up from previous close.

The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 1 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

The system does not hold a position at this time.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,310 5,281
OK n/a 100.0%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 1982.3 1972.5

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
Profit Ratio: 100%
System Quality Number: 2.9

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1972.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

As of December 19, 2025, SPX rose +0.88%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and market turbulence is picking up.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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