SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 16, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Currently Not Invested.

Today’s price:O: 57.41 H: 57.72 L: 56.69 C: 57.34

Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 15 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

The system does not hold a position at this time.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 5,233 5,281
OK n/a 100.0%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 1964.2 1980.1

Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
Profit Ratio: 100%
System Quality Number: 2.9

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1980.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

As of December 16, 2025, SPX fell -0.24%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and the pace of movement is slowing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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