SP500 Trading Strategy Update – April 07, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (-9.5%)

Today’s price:O: 52.85 H: 53.31 L: 51.94 C: 53.25

Price is 0.1% up from previous close.

Despite a 28-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.25 showing a gain of -9.5%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 14.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.5 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of March 27, 2026, SPX fell -1.67%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and price fluctuations are increasing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com