Category: Log

Daily system log

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 23, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – No Active Position.

    Today’s price:O: 58.46 H: 59.19 L: 58.45 C: 59.13

    Price is 0.9% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 3 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,479 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2027.8 1962.6

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1962.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 23, 2025, SPX rose +0.46%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and price fluctuations are increasing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 22, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Awaiting Re-entry Signal.

    Today’s price:O: 58.48 H: 58.72 L: 58.27 C: 58.63

    Price is 1.2% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 2 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,409 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2007.3 1965.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1965.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 22, 2025, SPX rose +0.64%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and volatility is expanding.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 19, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Awaiting Re-entry Signal.

    Today’s price:O: 57.26 H: 57.99 L: 57.23 C: 57.91

    Price is 1.8% up from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 1 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,310 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1982.3 1972.5

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1972.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

    As of December 19, 2025, SPX rose +0.88%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and market turbulence is picking up.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 18, 2025 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is on the Sidelines.

    Today’s price:O: 57.08 H: 57.61 L: 56.64 C: 56.90

    Price is 1.5% up from previous close.

    The S&P500 has been trending down for 2 days. The system remains out of the market, waiting for bullish confirmation.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,176 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1940.1 1975.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1975.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 18, 2025, SPX rose +0.79%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 17, 2025 – Market Direction: Downward – System is on the Sidelines.

    Today’s price:O: 57.50 H: 57.59 L: 56.04 C: 56.06

    Price is -2.2% down from previous close.

    The S&P500 has been trending down for 1 days. The system remains out of the market, waiting for bullish confirmation.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,057 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1902.5 1977.6

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1977.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 17, 2025, SPX fell -1.16%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 16, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – Currently Not Invested.

    Today’s price:O: 57.41 H: 57.72 L: 56.69 C: 57.34

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 15 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    The system does not hold a position at this time.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,233 5,281
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 1964.2 1980.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 9 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 2.9

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1980.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 9 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 16, 2025, SPX fell -0.24%. The market is on the lower region of the volatility wave, hinting at fatigue among buyers, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 12, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues –

    Today’s price:O: 58.98 H: 59.08 L: 57.41 C: 57.84

    Price is -2.2% down from previous close.

    The SP&500 has been in an uptrend for 14 days. However, the system has not entered a position yet.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,270 1,375
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 3.9%
    Cagr 1986.5 567.1

    Closed Ops: 1 – Won: 1 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 0.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 567.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 3.9 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 1 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 15, 2025, SPX fell -0.16%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 12, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – No Active Position.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 12, 2025, SPX fell -1.07%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and market fluctuations are calming down.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 11, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System Holding a Position (18.5%) – Sell on next Market Open.

    Today’s price:O: 58.46 H: 59.16 L: 57.96 C: 59.15

    Price is 0.5% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 12 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system has issued a SELL order to be executed al Market Price on next day’s session open.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 59.15 showing a gain of 18.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,459 5,337
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2052.5 2011.6

    Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 5.2

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 2011.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 11, 2025, SPX rose +0.21%. The market is on the low phase of the market cycle, suggesting consolidation or mild stress, and price action is becoming more orderly.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – December 10, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – Active Trade in Progress (18.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 58.03 H: 59.12 L: 57.83 C: 58.87

    Price is 1.3% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 11 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 01, 2025 at 49.90. As of today’s close, the price is 58.87 showing a gain of 18.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,427 5,268
    OK n/a 100.0%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 2045.5 1992.2

    Closed Ops: 8 – Won: 8 Lost: 0
    Profit Ratio: 100%
    System Quality Number: 5.2

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1992.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 100.0, with 8 wins and only 0 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 3: Quadrant 3

    SPX Daily Cycle

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

    As of December 10, 2025, SPX rose +0.67%. The market is on the lower side of the cycle, pointing to cooling enthusiasm or early weakness, and the pace of movement is slowing.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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