Category: Log

Daily system log

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 22, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (7.4%)

    Today’s price:O: 113.59 H: 113.59 L: 110.67 C: 112.19

    Price is -1.0% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 85 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 112.19 showing a gain of 7.4%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,007 4,790
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.3 19.5

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.5%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 22, 2025, SPX fell -0.53%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this can signal the closing phase of a bearish leg initiated in quadrant 1. Even as volatility eases, prices remain under pressure — suggesting that sellers still dominate the short-term tone.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 21, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (8.5%)

    Today’s price:O: 113.43 H: 113.93 L: 112.97 C: 113.34

    Price is -0.0% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 84 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.34 showing a gain of 8.5%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,088 4,934
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.6 20.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 21, 2025, SPX rose +0.00%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 20, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System is Currently Invested (8.6%)

    Today’s price:O: 112.06 H: 113.69 L: 112.06 C: 113.39

    Price is 2.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 83 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.39 showing a gain of 8.6%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,087 4,941
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.6 20.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 20, 2025, SPX rose +1.07%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this may mark the start of a bullish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 17, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (6.3%)

    Today’s price:O: 109.46 H: 111.52 L: 109.02 C: 111.07

    Price is 1.1% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 82 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 111.07 showing a gain of 6.3%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,928 4,648
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.1 19.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of October 17, 2025, SPX rose +0.53%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — Volatility and price seem temporarily unaligned — the ongoing trend is strong enough to override normal cycle behaviour. Despite rising volatility, prices continue to advance, indicating an uptrend strong enough to defy typical cycle pressure.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 16, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – Active Trade in Progress (5.2%)

    Today’s price:O: 111.97 H: 112.59 L: 108.73 C: 109.91

    Price is -1.3% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 81 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 109.91 showing a gain of 5.2%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,850 4,502
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 19.9 18.6

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 18.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of October 16, 2025, SPX fell -0.63%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 15, 2025 – Bullish Trend in Progress – Active Trade in Progress (6.7%)

    Today’s price:O: 111.96 H: 113.06 L: 109.35 C: 111.40

    Price is 0.8% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 80 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 111.40 showing a gain of 6.7%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,944 4,690
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.3 19.3

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.3%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of October 15, 2025, SPX rose +0.40%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — Volatility and price seem temporarily unaligned — the ongoing trend is strong enough to override normal cycle behaviour. Despite rising volatility, prices continue to advance, indicating an uptrend strong enough to defy typical cycle pressure.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 14, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System is Currently Invested (5.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 108.78 H: 111.65 L: 107.46 C: 110.47

    Price is -0.3% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 79 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 110.47 showing a gain of 5.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,884 4,573
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.1 18.9

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 18.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of October 14, 2025, SPX fell -0.16%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 13, 2025 – Upward Momentum Continues – System is Currently Invested (6.0%)

    Today’s price:O: 109.96 H: 111.27 L: 109.69 C: 110.75

    Price is 3.0% up from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 78 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 110.75 showing a gain of 6.0%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,907 4,608
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 20.2 19.1

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 19.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of October 13, 2025, SPX fell +1.56%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 10, 2025 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (2.9%)

    Today’s price:O: 113.96 H: 114.53 L: 107.40 C: 107.49

    Price is -5.4% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 77 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 107.49 showing a gain of 2.9%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 4,678 4,197
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 19.4 17.6

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 17.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

    As of October 10, 2025, SPX fell -2.71%. Volatility increases on the upper side of the cycle — this can signal the beginning of a bearish leg. Price and volatility behave in line with normal expectations for this stage of the cycle.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

  • SP500 Trading Strategy Update – October 09, 2025 – SP500 Trend is Positive – System Holding a Position (8.8%)

    Today’s price:O: 114.48 H: 114.61 L: 113.03 C: 113.67

    Price is -0.6% down from previous close.

    The current uptrend has been active for 76 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

    The system entered a long position on Aug 26, 2025 at 104.44. As of today’s close, the price is 113.67 showing a gain of 8.8%.

    SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

    Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

    Buy & Hold SPW
    PNL 5,087 4,976
    OK n/a 88.9%
    DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
    Cagr 21.0 20.6

    Closed Ops: 9 – Won: 8 Lost: 1
    Profit Ratio: 5848%
    System Quality Number: 3.0

    Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

    SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 20.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 88.9, with 8 wins and only 1 losses.

    Volatility Analysis

    Currently in Quadrant 2: Quadrant 2

    SPX 30-day cycle chart

    Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

    As of October 09, 2025, SPX fell -0.28%. Volatility decreases while remaining positive — this can signal the closing phase of a bearish leg initiated in quadrant 1. Even as volatility eases, prices remain under pressure — suggesting that sellers still dominate the short-term tone.

    © SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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