Author: manolin
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 26, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – Active Trade in Progress (-13.0%)
Today’s price:O: 52.26 H: 52.72 L: 51.12 C: 51.16
Price is -3.5% down from previous close.
Despite a 21-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 51.16 showing a gain of -13.0%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,510 3,708 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1523.8 1276.9 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1276.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 26, 2026, SPX fell -1.74%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 25, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – System Holding a Position (-9.8%)
Today’s price:O: 53.34 H: 53.70 L: 52.64 C: 53.04
Price is 0.9% up from previous close.
Despite a 20-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.04 showing a gain of -9.8%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,767 4,184 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1603.0 1426.1 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1426.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 2:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.
As of March 25, 2026, SPX rose +0.54%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is easing.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 24, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (-10.6%)
Today’s price:O: 52.31 H: 53.21 L: 52.06 C: 52.59
Price is -0.7% down from previous close.
Despite a 19-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 52.59 showing a gain of -10.6%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,687 4,070 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1580.9 1392.6 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1392.6%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 24, 2026, SPX fell -0.37%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market turbulence is picking up.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 23, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is Currently Invested (-10.0%)
Today’s price:O: 53.36 H: 54.11 L: 52.73 C: 52.96
Price is 2.1% up from previous close.
Despite a 18-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 52.96 showing a gain of -10.0%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,742 4,163 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1599.3 1423.1 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1423.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 23, 2026, SPX rose +1.15%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and short-term swings are intensifying.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 20, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is Currently Invested (-11.8%)
Today’s price:O: 53.17 H: 53.19 L: 51.27 C: 51.86
Price is -2.9% down from previous close.
Despite a 17-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 51.86 showing a gain of -11.8%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,575 3,885 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1554.1 1341.2 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1341.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 20, 2026, SPX fell -1.51%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and price fluctuations are increasing.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 19, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – System Holding a Position (-9.2%)
Today’s price:O: 52.96 H: 53.92 L: 52.68 C: 53.42
Price is -0.6% down from previous close.
Despite a 16-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.42 showing a gain of -9.2%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,799 4,280 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1623.7 1465.4 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1465.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 19, 2026, SPX fell -0.27%. The market is on the high phase of the cycle, where momentum remains positive, and short-term swings are intensifying.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 18, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – Position Open – In the Market (-8.7%)
Today’s price:O: 54.85 H: 55.06 L: 53.68 C: 53.73
Price is -2.8% down from previous close.
Despite a 15-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.73 showing a gain of -8.7%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 4,840 4,358 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1637.9 1491.2 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1491.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 18, 2026, SPX fell -1.36%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and market turbulence is picking up.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 17, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System is Currently Invested (-6.1%)
Today’s price:O: 55.51 H: 55.85 L: 55.13 C: 55.25
Price is 0.5% up from previous close.
Despite a 14-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 55.25 showing a gain of -6.1%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 5,045 4,743 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1701.2 1610.4 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1610.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 17, 2026, SPX rose +0.25%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and price fluctuations are increasing.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com
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SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 16, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – Active Trade in Progress (-6.6%)
Today’s price:O: 54.85 H: 55.46 L: 54.67 C: 54.95
Price is 2.0% up from previous close.
Despite a 13-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.
The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 54.95 showing a gain of -6.6%.
SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold
Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023
Buy & Hold SPW PNL 5,007 4,667 OK n/a 91.7% DrDwn 18.9% 16.0% Cagr 1692.0 1589.2 Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold
SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1589.2%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.
Volatility Analysis
Currently in Quadrant 1:
Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.
As of March 16, 2026, SPX rose +1.01%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and short-term swings are intensifying.
© SPW · spwoodpecker.com










