SP500 Trading Strategy Update – August 18, 2026 – Bearish Trend Developing – Position Open – In the Market (20.5%)

Today’s price:O: 70.76 H: 70.91 L: 70.44 C: 70.53

Price is -1.4% down from previous close.

Despite a 48-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Jan 02, 2026 at 58.54. As of today’s close, the price is 70.53 showing a gain of 20.5%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 23.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 17.6 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 3:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 3 — Upthrust Phase.

As of August 18, 2026, SPX fell -0.69%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and price action is becoming more orderly.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com