SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 18, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (7.0%)

Today’s price:O: 67.84 H: 67.92 L: 67.15 C: 67.61

Price is 1.9% up from previous close.

Despite a 7-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 67.61 showing a loss of 7.0%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
Profit Ratio: 106%
System Quality Number: 0.1

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 2:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

As of June 18, 2026, SPX rose +1.08%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and price action is becoming more orderly.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com