SP500 Trading Strategy Update – June 16, 2026 – Downward Momentum Detected – System Holding a Position (7.6%)

Today’s price:O: 68.80 H: 68.95 L: 67.95 C: 68.04

Price is -1.1% down from previous close.

Despite a 5-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 68.04 showing a loss of 7.6%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
Profit Ratio: 106%
System Quality Number: 0.1

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 4.1%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 2:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 2 — Stabilization Stage.

As of June 16, 2026, SPX fell -0.57%. The market is on the upper side of the cycle, suggesting persistent optimism among investors, and market fluctuations are calming down.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com