SP500 Trading Strategy Update – May 15, 2026 – Market Direction: Upward – Position Open – In the Market (5.1%)

Today’s price:O: 66.94 H: 67.21 L: 66.23 C: 66.43

Price is -2.5% down from previous close.

The current uptrend has been active for 24 days, and the system remains invested while the momentum persists.

The system entered a long position on May 04, 2026 at 63.21. As of today’s close, the price is 66.43 showing a loss of 5.1%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 6,596 957
OK n/a 82.4%
DrDwn 18.9% 50.0%
Cagr 20.1 3.4

Closed Ops: 17 – Won: 14 Lost: 3
Profit Ratio: 106%
System Quality Number: 0.1

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 3.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 50.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 82.4, with 14 wins and only 3 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 4: Quadrant 4

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 4 — Exhaustion Zone.

As of May 15, 2026, SPX fell -1.24%. The market is on the bottom stage of the cycle, where traders look for new balance, and price fluctuations are increasing.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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