SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 26, 2026 – SP500 Trend is Negative – Active Trade in Progress (-13.0%)

Today’s price:O: 52.26 H: 52.72 L: 51.12 C: 51.16

Price is -3.5% down from previous close.

Despite a 21-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 51.16 showing a gain of -13.0%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Buy & Hold SPW
PNL 4,510 3,708
OK n/a 91.7%
DrDwn 18.9% 16.0%
Cagr 1523.8 1276.9

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1276.9%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.


Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1: Quadrant 1

SPX Daily Cycle

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of March 26, 2026, SPX fell -1.74%. The market is on the higher region of the volatility wave, reflecting an extended rally, and volatility is expanding.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com

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