SP500 Trading Strategy Update – March 13, 2026 – Market Direction: Downward – System Holding a Position (-8.4%)

Today’s price:O: 55.02 H: 55.52 L: 53.74 C: 53.88

Price is -1.2% down from previous close.

Despite a 12-day downtrend, the system is holding a position based on earlier signals.

The system entered a long position on Dec 31, 2025 at 58.83. As of today’s close, the price is 53.88 showing a gain of -8.4%.

SPW S&P500 Trading Strategy comparison vs. Buy and Hold

Below, we compare the performance of SPW versus a Buy & Hold approach. Our SP500 Trading Strategy will trade SSO, while the Buy and Hold would trade any S&P500-based ETF such as SPY. The comparison starts on 11, Aug 2023

Closed Ops: 12 – Won: 11 Lost: 1
Profit Ratio: 7274%
System Quality Number: 3.3

Performance Summary: SPW Strategy vs. Buy & Hold

SPW, our S&P500 Trading System continues to provide a high return rate of 1511.4%, with less drawdown than a Buy & Hold approach: 16.0 SPW vs. 18.9 Buy & Hold. It currently maintains a win rate of 91.7, with 11 wins and only 1 losses.

Volatility Analysis

Currently in Quadrant 1:

Volatility wave is currently in phase 1 — Downthrust Phase.

As of March 13, 2026, SPX fell -0.61%. The market is on the upper stage of the market cycle, showing confidence still dominates sentiment, and short-term swings are intensifying.

© SPW · spwoodpecker.com